Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 5.616973 6.191711 6.804608 7.507661 8.292863 9.143964 10.137874
2025-12-07 4.619559 5.400004 6.288251 7.377459 8.681779 10.199262 12.106807
2025-12-14 3.865393 4.743725 5.799188 7.168588 8.909392 11.063095 13.952028
2025-12-21 3.366077 4.307016 5.491951 7.106934 9.271056 12.099528 16.123192
2025-12-28 3.066074 4.071649 5.392186 7.273889 9.919735 13.557399 19.024108
2026-01-04 2.813662 3.861234 5.289100 7.406544 10.516323 14.994175 22.073472
2026-01-11 2.572618 3.634416 5.130267 7.429099 10.940432 16.213730 24.948331
2026-01-18 2.344596 3.398969 4.928838 7.356664 11.199372 17.196519 27.566587
2026-01-25 2.142435 3.179435 4.724988 7.250822 11.381867 18.063149 30.090792
2026-02-01 1.965942 2.980798 4.531118 7.134562 11.524514 18.866035 32.594992
2026-02-08 1.810412 2.799921 4.346449 7.010122 11.631925 19.608828 35.075461
2026-02-15 1.688533 2.661360 4.215466 6.958292 11.851125 20.559447 38.054966
2026-02-22 1.612830 2.593746 4.197777 7.103714 12.444659 22.272893 42.800561
2026-03-01 1.508413 2.469932 4.075527 7.053730 12.677829 23.347067 46.442348
2026-03-08 1.395696 2.323014 3.901261 6.892501 12.683487 23.982556 49.268150
2026-03-15 1.313750 2.222646 3.799345 6.853208 12.916150 25.089200 53.275041
2026-03-22 1.270631 2.187042 3.809166 7.024240 13.581042 27.156247 59.768809
2026-03-29 1.225301 2.143658 3.800615 7.157615 14.182287 29.162923 66.462825
2026-04-05 1.169007 2.075775 3.740667 7.182407 14.557367 30.722660 72.340578
2026-04-12 1.105594 1.989953 3.639850 7.114265 14.723945 31.833447 77.278007
2026-04-19 1.043376 1.902024 3.528232 7.013150 14.805985 32.757517 81.887741
2026-04-26 0.984868 1.817262 3.416533 6.901572 14.851817 33.600112 86.425852
2026-05-03 0.929947 1.735877 3.305688 6.781886 14.865842 34.366330 90.889080